Berikut ini beberapa studi tentang efek AI terhadap produktivitas manusia
Large Language Models, Small Labor Market Effects
Penelitian di Denmark menggunakan survey menunjukkan bahwa AI chatbot menaikkan produktivitas 3%
“We examine the labor market effects of AI chatbots using two large-scale adoption surveys (late 2023 and 2024) covering 11 exposed occupations (25,000 workers, 7,000 workplaces), linked to matched employer-employee data in Denmark. AI chatbots are now widespread—most employers encourage their use, many deploy in-house models, and training initiatives are common. These firm-led investments boost adoption, narrow demographic gaps in take-up, enhance workplace utility, and create new job tasks. Yet, despite substantial investments, economic impacts remain minimal. Using difference-in-differences and employer policies as quasi-experimental variation, we estimate precise zeros: AI chatbots have had no significant impact on earnings or recorded hours in any occupation, with confidence intervals ruling out effects larger than 1%. Modest productivity gains (average time savings of 3%), combined with weak wage pass-through, help explain these limited labor market effects. Our findings challenge narratives of imminent labor market transformation due to Generative AI.” https://papers.ssrn.com/sol3/papers.cfm?abstract_id=5219933
The Simple Macroeconomics of AI
Tautan paper: https://shapingwork.mit.edu/research/the-simple-macroeconomics-of-ai/
Artikel: https://mitsloan.mit.edu/ideas-made-to-matter/a-new-look-economics-ai
In a new paper, “The Simple Macroeconomics of AI,” MIT Institute Professor has a more conservative estimate of how AI will affect the U.S. economy over the next 10 years. Estimating that only about 5% of tasks will be able to be profitably performed by AI within that time frame, the GDP boost would likely be closer to 1% over that period, Acemoglu suggests. This is a “nontrivial, but modest effect, and certainly much less than both the revolutionary changes some are predicting and the less hyperbolic but still substantial improvements forecast by Goldman Sachs and the McKinsey Global Institute,” he writes.